Football betting ranks first in popularity among bookmakers, so it is not surprising that there are many strategies – both live and pre-match. the site will introduce you to the best strategies these days that can systematize the game and bring the bettor closer to a stable income.
Bets on a draw
When betting on the outcome of football matches, the least popular is a draw - psychologically it is difficult for a player to bet on a draw and root for it during the game. Although matches start with a 0:0 draw, at any moment the fragile balance can be upset by a goal from one of the teams, which discourages bettors from betting on a draw.
If you bet on victory, the team can secure it long before the final whistle with a solid advantage in the score, while a draw will be in jeopardy for the entire 90 minutes - right up to the last seconds of injury time. This is another one psychological problem, which is difficult to accept when betting on a draw.
But all these inconveniences are compensated by the coefficient - if for the favorite to win it can be scanty, then in the case of a draw it is extremely rare that the quote drops below 2.75, mainly in the event that a draw suits both teams. Good example- the already famous game between Denmark and Sweden at Euro 2004, which ended with a predicted score of 2:2, which suited both Scandinavian teams. Then you could bet on a draw for 1.6, and on a 2:2 score for 2.4.
The strategy for searching for potential draw matches is based on the fact that for a fixed bet amount with odds of 3.0 or higher (a common occurrence for a draw), even one winning bet out of three will cover two unsuccessful ones. If you achieve a result of 3 hits out of 6 attempts, the strategy will bring income, as with two correct predictions for a draw out of five.
When betting on a draw, it is reasonable to use the strategy of a fixed bet, flat, or combine matches into a system if we are talking about fights within 2-3 game days. Strategies and will also help organize a “hunt for draws”.
Potentially drawn matches can be selected based on several criteria:
- There are teams that play with the idea that “a draw is a good result” and are inclined to share points with the opponent, especially on the road.
- A match of equal opponents who respect each other and are afraid to take risks.
- The favorite is playing away and the odds for his victory are from 1.8. As statistics show, in such cases, a draw often occurs.
Betting strategy for “total over”
Over betting is one of the most popular strategies in football. It is used, without even realizing it, by at least 25% of players, the so-called “Bolsheviks” - fans of betting on high-scoring football.
Total over (TB or in other words - “top”) is a logical bet for any fan, bringing aesthetic pleasure if you manage to choose the right match. It is in the nature of a fan to rejoice at goals, and not at their absence, as happens in the case of the opposite outcome - the total is less.
The only problem here is that, according to statistics, even teams with decent performance play “under” from time to time, and the odds for a total of more than 2.5 goals for those who bet on the attack rarely exceed 1.6. Often, a bettor who bets on the “over” deceives himself and wants to see productive football where it is unlikely. And there is a whole cohort of players who always bet on the TB, changing only the total indicator - more than 2, more than 2.5, more than 3.5, etc.
The success of the strategy for finding high-scoring matches lies in the fact that you need to look for them, and not bet on everything, adjusting the conclusions to the desire to see goals in a particular game.
To increase the base coefficient, you can look for matches with a total of more than 3.5 goals - as statistics show, if teams play effectively, they often “break through” both 2.5 total goals and, by inertia, 3.5 total goals. A total odds greater than 3.5 gives more room for error than a total odds of 2.5.
There are a lot of algorithms for searching for “big” matches, but the very first thing you should learn here is not to adjust the possible game scenario to own desires, and analyze the match impartially, critically, without emotions and taking into account subjective factors. Calculate how often the playing teams “break through” the desired total, do not pay attention to the overall performance, in this case it is a false guide.
The conditional Real Madrid can win 7:0 in one match and 2:0 in the other three. Average 3.25 goals per game will show effectiveness, but the bottom line is that in this selection there was only one match with “more total”.
Betting on football statistics
With the development of technology and statistical services, the coverage of football matches has expanded significantly due to betting on statistics. For many bettors, this segment of betting has even eclipsed the main outcomes, total goals and handicaps, which were always highlighted in bold type in the line of football matches.
Bets on statistics are good because they can be predicted by studying the basic information on some teams much better than the result of the match. Finding these teams and the associated statistical trends that will generate income over the long term is the goal of a betting strategy on corners, yellow cards, sending offs, percentage of ball possession and other game factors.
There are teams with their own style that consistently take corners, get yellow cards or get caught offside. There are referees whose work style can be used when betting - some give penalties more often than others, send off players, and have the habit of showing a yellow card for the first hard foul “for prevention.” Of course, bookmakers also try to take these factors into account, but their odds change under the influence of bet volumes, sometimes in the direction desired for an experienced player.
Bets based on trends
When carefully studying the results of football matches, you can notice some tendencies, called trends - for example, the Belgian team Eupen, from the start of the 2016/17 season, scored more than 3.5 goals in 9 out of 11 home matches. Why not use this knowledge if the coefficient for TB3.5 in this case ranges from 2.3 to 3.3?
When studying trends, you can use both already known resources that publish found trends, and you can find your own. A few hours spent with the results of matches, divided into home and away (without fail!), can pay off handsomely if you can find a long-lasting trend that is guaranteed to generate income over the long term.
A bettor who plays on trends is like a gold miner working in several mines simultaneously. Once found " gold mine“, “equipment” is installed on it, which automatically “washes the sand”, and the “prospector” himself moves to another place, only controlling the overall process and closing “unprofitable points”. The more working trends, the higher the average income and the less dependence on one trend that may turn out to be incorrect.
Trends must be constantly checked for the presence of “profit” and those that cease to be profitable when counting the last ten fights must be rejected. There is no need for sentimentality here; it is always better to find a new trend than to use an old one, since teams’ habits can change, key players can get injured, coaches can be promoted or resign.
Searching for natural coincidences in football is a very interesting activity in itself, and the income that trends you find yourself brings is a special pleasure. Football is best suited for this strategy, since here it is difficult for bookmakers to “dampen the trend” on the same totals with insignificant numerical values. Basketball is practically not suitable for playing on trends– bookmakers work very well on statistics in this sport, leaving the player a gap of only a couple of points, and this is an element of chance.
What is the most popular score in football according to statistics? Knowing the answer to a question allows you to bet on the outcome (or total) and be sure that the bet will go through. In this article we will analyze the most popular score in football and the intricacies of betting.
Unlike beach soccer, where there can be 20-30 goals in one match, the average number of goals in regular soccer is 2.5. There are matches that generally end in a draw. Although the theoretical score could be 10:0.
What is the most popular score in football?
The most common is a draw. The only question is what score it will be with.
- 1:1 – occurs in 10% of matches.
- 1:0 – also in about 10% of matches.
- Another 50% comes from events that end with results of 0:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:1 or 2:0.
Where can I look at match statistics and find out what the most popular score in football is?
For this purpose, there are special websites that provide information on the Champions League, national Premier Leagues and other tournaments. You can analyze the team meeting at BetExplorer, FourFourTwo, Soccerway, BetVirus, WhoScored, SimpleSoccerStats or other resources.
ATTENTION! Give an answer to the question about which is the most popular account in football, it is possible only after specification:
- What is the level of competition? (teams meet as part of the Oceania Championship or as part of the World Cup).
- What is the team's preparation? (It’s one thing if we have a Brazilian team in front of us; quite another thing if a team from Gibraltar enters the field).
- If the match is a friendly, which teams will participate in it? (It’s one thing when these are strong teams from Germany and Brazil; quite another thing when the teams of tractor drivers are from the village of Vasyuki).
Statistics for individual tournaments
- World Championship 2014. The most popular score is 2:1.
- European Championship 2016. Here, the results 2:0, 1:0, 1:1, and also 2:1 occurred almost the same number of times.
- The Premier League has contained the most matches with a score of 1:1.
If you look at the picture, which shows the statistics of 5 Leagues (La Liga, Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1), we can conclude the most common results:
Score statistics based on the results of the first half
Below is an analysis of the results with which the teams of 5 Leagues (La Liga, Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1) “diverged” at the end of the 1st half. Data taken for 2003-2012.
As you can see, the first half ends with the following numbers on the scoreboard:
When analyzing statistical data, pay attention to important details:
- A draw is the most common result of the first half (and the end of the match).
- Forecasting can be done BEFORE the match, but it is better to place a bet after the first half (taking into account the team’s behavior, motivation, current score).
- The home team wins more often (fan support, home field).
- Statistics will help you predict the outcome of the match and get a solid win.
Remember that football is a sport in which there is room for the unexpected. Therefore, when you lose, you don’t need to tear your hair out and blame someone else for the failure. All we can do is wish you successful bets and big winnings! Remember that most football matches are only 2.5 goals.
If you want to make profitable bets, we recommend the bookmaker League of Bet
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All football fans know what the score usually is in a match. If one team concedes more than three goals without scoring a single one, the score is considered devastating. Naturally, a devastating score is not uncommon, since opponents are not always in the same “weight category.” That is why even at the highest level, for example, in the Champions League, the most prestigious club tournament, you can find results such as 7:0.
Biggest scores in football
However, such a score is unlikely to surprise you if you know about the existence of performance records. If you don’t know them, then this article will provide you with information about what the biggest scores in football were. Each of the fights that will be mentioned here has its own story. Sometimes the stories are sad, sometimes they make you smile, and sometimes they motivate some football associations to take action. Well, it's time to find out what the biggest scores in football are.
Vanuatu - Federal States of Micronesia
If we talk about the biggest scores in football, then we should definitely start with this match, which took place in 2015, that is, quite recently. Both teams took part in the Pacific Games, a tournament in which teams located in the Pacific zone competed. And if most of the team there could boast of professionalism, even if not the most high level, Micronesia could hardly be called a professional team. Before the championship, the players didn’t even train together because they all lived on different islands. Naturally, the result was frightening. Micronesia conceded 114 goals in their three group stage matches, with their highest score in football at the tournament coming against Vanuatu. This team defeated Micronesia with a score of 46:0, and this result could be officially recorded in history as the biggest defeat in international football, but the Federal States of Micronesia is a country that is not a member of FIFA, so this match will not be included in the official register.
Australia - Western Samoa
But what then is the biggest score in the history of football at international level? He was featured in a match between Australia and Western Samoa, in which he scored 31 goals, all of which were sent into the Western Samoan net. As a result, this match became a record in several respects at once, and Archie Thompson, who scored 13 goals, also became a record holder, because before him no footballer had scored so many goals in an official match.
However, the overall impression was spoiled by the fact that the Western Samoa team had problems with passports, so not professional football players, but juniors took part in the match. It is also worth noting that this match was the reason that FIFA thought about holding an additional qualifying tournament for such “dwarf” teams. One way or another, this is the largest score in the history of football in official international matches.
“Ilinden” - “Mladost” and “Debartsa” - “Gradinar”
What about club football? There are also records here, but it’s worth starting not with the biggest football score in the world, but with a very funny and interesting incident. It happened in 1979 in one of the regional championships of Yugoslavia. The clubs “Ilinden” and “Debraca” shared the first and second lines with the same number of points, while the top line was occupied by “Debarca”, since it had best difference goals scored and missed. In the last match of the championship, the club’s management resorted to a trick: the opponent of their competitor was bribed so that he would not enter the match, and “Ilinden” in this case would have been credited with a technical victory 3:0, while “Debartsa” itself agreed and with your opponents to hit as many goals as possible into their goal.
Imagine their surprise when, having scored several goals, they learned during the break that Ilinden had seen through their machinations and outbid their opponents, having already scored 58 goals in 45 minutes. As a result, the second half turned into a real race, and Ilinden managed to finish the match with a score of 134:1, while Debarca was trailing, scoring only 57 goals. The referee became another hero who added 30 minutes to the match, which the club began to actively use, but managed to score only 88 goals when the match was interrupted by a call from the president of the football association. As a result, Ilinden did not become the champion. Why? Because the decision was made to disqualify and disband all four teams that took part in this performance, as well as to deprive the license of the referee who extended the match by thirty minutes. But if you are interested in what is the biggest score in football, then you have not yet received the answer.
Arbroath - Bon Accord
While delaying the most important information, it is also worth talking about how it all began. The fact is that incidents of huge bills have been encountered since ancient times. Here is the most striking example, a match in the first round of the Scottish Cup, in which one team managed to score 36 unanswered goals. Many believe that this particular score is a record, since the game was not of a contractual nature, was officially recognized and does not have any dubious elements. But the most important thing is that it was from this point that qualifying rounds appeared in tournaments, which weed out teams that are too weak so that there are no similar results at the official final stages.
Largest account
Well, it's time to talk about the biggest score in the history of football. To date, this record belongs to the 2002 match, which took place between two teams from the Madagascar championship, Adema and Stade Olympique L'Emirne. And in this match, 149 unanswered goals were scored against the Stade Olympique L’Emirne club.
The history of this match is very interesting and extremely unusual. The fact is that Stade Olympique L'Emirne is not at all an outsider who was defeated by the leader of the tournament. Until the last round it was the main competitor for the championship. However, in the penultimate round, a groundless penalty was awarded against the team in the last seconds, which buried the chances of winning the championship. In the last round, a meeting between two contenders took place, but only because of a refereeing error (many believe that it was intentional) “Adema” already became the champion. Olympic had nothing to lose, so the club protested by scoring as many goals as they could. Only he scored all these goals into his own net, earning 149 goals in 90 minutes. So 149:0 is the largest score in official matches in football.
Bookmakers offer to bet on the exact score in football, usually these are the most likely results of the match. There is also an “Any other account” bet.
Guess the score of the upcoming game - difficult task, but bettors are attracted by high odds. Making a single bet on a specific account means relying on luck. Betting enthusiasts have developed strategies in which bets on the exact score are used as part of express bets, systems and partial sure bets.
Statistics of popular scores in football
In reality, sampling by championship and year gives a different picture. If you need up-to-date information, it makes sense to independently analyze the numbers and draw conclusions on specific championships and matches at the current moment.
Overview of exact count strategies
It is believed that this is what the eight most popular results look like: 0:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:1, 2:0, 0:2, 2:1, 1:2. In the RFPL season 2016/2017, these results were recorded in 73.1% of all games. The score 3:0 was not included in our top eight, despite the high percentage. Correct score odds usually range from 5 and above.
Markets on correct score for an English Premier League match, minimum odds of 7.00 corresponds to a 1:1 score. Exact counting strategy "Fan"
The essence: “cover” the most probable results of the match with single bets. The number of bets is from 5 to 7, depending on the odds set by the bookmaker for this game. If the odds for one of the outcomes are less than 6, then the “fan” of 6 bets will bring a loss.
According to the strategy, be sure to include scores 0:0, 1:1, 2:1, 2:0. The remaining 2-3 outcomes are recommended to be chosen from the results with higher odds, where one of the teams scores 3 goals. For some reason there is no score 1:0, but in vain.
Conditions for selecting games:
- Championship games and low-scoring teams are suitable;
- it should be a match with an implicit favorite;
- Limit the range of possible outcomes as much as possible.
Example. Meeting from the Argentine Examples. The game was expected to be “low” (TM(2.5) – 1.55), the bookmaker gave the advantage to the hosts. The statistics of past meetings confirmed our choice - the odds for a 1:0 score were 5.7. This meant that you could only bet on 5 games. We chose 0:0, 1:1, 1:0, 2:0 and 2:1, the size of the five bets is the same.
The meeting ended with the victory of Rosario Central 1:0. We ended up with a small profit.
A variation of the fan strategy– game system for the exact score 1-2-3. It is proposed to place a bet on 6 options for the score of the selected match, and the bet sizes for each of them are determined according to the following rules:
- 30% – for the most likely outcome;
- 20% – for the next two possible options;
- 10% – on the three remaining results with lower chances.
Based on the odds, you can change the bet sizes in such a way as to be in the black when the account “enters” the results chosen by the bettor.
Strategy for exact counting "Double"
Rationale: About 12% of games end 1:0. The home team wins in about half of the games. Consequently, every fourth victory of the hosts is 1:0.
If you select 10 matches where the score is likely to be 1:0 and make up a 2 out of 10 system from them, then with two correct results the bettor will make a profit. A prerequisite is that the odds must be at least 7.0.
Example of calculation by strategy. The total amount for all bets is 450 rubles. The system includes 45 express bets, the bet size per option is 10 rubles. Out of ten selected matches with odds of 7.0. 2 games ended with the desired result 1:0.
System calculation using an online calculator As a result, our income was 490 – 450 = 40 rubles.
Weaknesses of the strategy:
- in “low-level” meetings with an implicit favorite, the minimum odds for the most likely result (usually 1:1 or 1:0) drops to 5.0, which excludes such matches from the strategy;
- Many bookmakers do not allow more than one accurate account option to be included in systems and express bets.
Strategy for the exact score 1:0
The strategy is similar to the previous one. The difference is that the system is not used here. The player will be “in the black” if two out of 10 single bets are successful. The profit at the same costs (10 bets for 45 rubles) will be less than in the case of the system.
Profit calculation: 2 x (45 x 7) – 450 = 2 x 315 – 450 = 630 – 450 = 180 rubles.
There are bettors who find a place to “catch up” here too.
27 express strategy
The essence: the bettor selects the three most predictable matches from his point of view.
These can be games of equal teams or with a slight advantage of one of them, in which many goals should not be scored. The last requirement is relevant for all strategies related to betting on the exact score.
- For each match, we select the three most likely results. For example, if one of the teams has a slight advantage, then it is 1:0, 2:0, 2:1. We get three games with three results.
- We make all kinds of express bets from three matches, 27 in total. If all three matches do not go beyond our forecasts, then one express bet is played.
A rough calculation shows that if the odds are on average 7.0, then by spending only 135 rubles (27 bets of 5 rubles each), we will make a profit
5 x 7 x 7 x 7 = 5 x 343 = 1715 – 135 = 1580 rubles.
System "Plus or Minus One"
The essence: For each of the 4 selected matches, the probable score is predicted.
For each outcome, by subtracting and adding one goal, we create four more scores. You get one basic result plus 4 additional ones for each game - a total of 20 results, from which singles, as well as double, triple and quadruple express trains are then formed.
Conclusions
Various ways of playing and strategies for scoring in football, despite all the difficulties, arouse the interest of players. High odds for this type of bet, the use of express bets and systems allow experienced bettors to find interesting opportunities to play.
In the schedules for football matches there are always bets on the exact score. It may seem like a bad idea to bet on the score in football matches. However, it is not necessary to guess the outcome using a single. In this article, we will look at several strategies for betting on the exact score of a match.
Quick Jump
Option 1. Bet on singles
The idea is based on the fact that in football most games end 1-0; 1-1; 0-1. Our task is to select meetings that, in our opinion, will end in one of these outcomes. Let's look at the odds that bookmakers usually offer. Take for example the English Premier League match between Leicester and Watford. One well-known bookmaker offers the following odds for this game:
- 1-0– 8,5;
- 0-0– 8,4;
- 1-1 – 7;
- 0-1 – 9,0
- Any other result is 14.5.
The last bet means that one of the teams must score 4 or more goals. We bet the same amount on each result in singles. For example, if you bet 10 units on each game, then the smallest win will be 10, since the coefficient on 1-1 is 7. The total amount of money bet is 50 units, and the winnings are 70. We get a profit of 20 units. In other scenarios, the winnings turns out to be several times larger.
It is clear that you can lose using this strategy. To minimize risks, you need to choose the right fights. More or less “correct” variants of outcomes that fall within our area of interest occur in the championships of Italy, Portugal, Spain, and France. Only on the account 1-1 there can be quotes lower than 7. If we bet on 5 outcomes, then with a result of 1-1 we will make a profit even if the odds on it are 6. If we bet on 6 outcomes, then to make a profit the odds must be higher 6. If it is equal to 6, then we bet on 5 outcomes.
Analyzing statistics
To find teams suitable for this strategy, you should carefully work with statistics. In general, the strategy can be applied to those championships in which at least 6-8 rounds have passed. During this time, the minimum statistics of the teams' games will appear.
We select teams that play good defense and do not run headlong to score goals even in situations where they are losing. It is ideal to find clubs like the Italian teams of the 90s, which finished almost half of their games in Serie A with results of 1-0 and 1-1. There are similar teams in almost every of the above-mentioned championships.
We open the statistics and find clubs with prevailing scores of 1-0, 0-0, 1-1,2-1. It is important that the overwhelming number of fights be played with less total. The priority for these clubs is to play defensively and not miss a goal. It is ideal when two such teams meet. On weekends, you can find a dozen or even more such meetings.
When selecting events, we will find out the weather forecast on the day of the game in advance. If the weather is expected to be inclement, with rain, then this is an additional plus for us. In bad weather with heavy rain, the field becomes heavy and slippery. It's quite difficult to create chances on it. Especially for teams that, even in normal weather, do not shine with efficiency and spectacular play.
Option 2. Place express bets
The next method, a little more complex, is to compile express bets on exact accounts. We select those matches in which an equal game is expected. We make sure that the home team does not have a large advantage of victories, and that the guest team plays more or less successfully on the road. Next, we select 3-4 accounts that, in our opinion, are most likely.
For example, we selected 3 games. For each of them, we selected the most probable scores, in our opinion: 1-0, 2-1, 2-0. As a rule, the odds for such outcomes are in the range of 7-9. For example, on an account 1-0 the odds will be 7, on 2-1 – 8, on 1-1 – 8. Next, we draw up all the options for express bets that can be with these outcomes. We get 27 bets with the following odds:
If any of these options plays, then we make a profit. The smallest profit will be from an express bet with odds of 343. If we bet 1 unit on each of them, we get a profit equal to 343 – 27 = 316.
It is clear that you can lose all your bets. But if at least the 10th time we win even the minimum amount, we will still end up making a profit. It is only important to select a match with the necessary criteria.
It is advisable that the minimum coefficient of one of the express bets exceeds the amount of funds spent by at least 10 times. Thus, the player will receive 10 attempts to place bets. Having won on the 11th, he will win back all the money spent and still be in the black.
Account bets can consist of express bets and four or more outcomes. In this case, we will get 64 options. Even if in some of them the quotes are 7;7; 6;6, then we get a win of 1764 – 64 = 1700. This is when winning with the lowest odds. As we see, when more options, we get tangible profits and the number of attempts to make a bet increases. You can lose 20 times in a row, but with a one-time win, your losses will be covered and you will get a good plus.
If we include 5 outcomes in express bets, we will get 125 bets. To calculate the possible profit, we take the smallest coefficient of them. The results can be 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, 0-0, 0-1. Let's assume that the odds for these singles will be as follows: 7, 6, 6, 6, 6. We get a total odds of 9072. Subtract the amount bet on all options from this number, we get 9072 – 125 = 8947. We can lose up to 60 times in a row , but having won at least once, we return all the money and get a small plus.
The main disadvantage of this betting strategy on the exact score is the fact that the betting process takes a lot of time. It is better to somehow automate the process of compiling express bets and calculating odds. In a good way The solution to this problem will be to compile an Excel table for all express bet options with the calculation of the final odds. In the table you can enter team names, select scores and indicate odds. Having received the list of express bets, we place bets at bookmakers.
